Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.382306 0.491847 0.610452 0.746742 0.897515 1.057882 1.240091
2025-10-19 0.255472 0.407170 0.587551 0.809883 1.069896 1.358896 1.699440
2025-10-26 0.188122 0.357373 0.573338 0.852201 1.189468 1.573733 2.035400
2025-11-02 0.128374 0.301097 0.539369 0.861562 1.263514 1.731555 2.303176
2025-11-09 0.069954 0.226983 0.468146 0.812958 1.258362 1.789178 2.448515
2025-11-16 0.030304 0.163343 0.398639 0.756687 1.235999 1.820276 2.557633
2025-11-23 0.012118 0.126919 0.361585 0.738279 1.256996 1.900186 2.721387
2025-11-30 0.004522 0.107771 0.348329 0.750660 1.316063 2.025510 2.938501
2025-12-07 0.000388 0.085469 0.324473 0.744380 1.348205 2.115777 3.112014
2025-12-14 NaN 0.061522 0.290779 0.719276 1.352242 2.168761 3.238555
2025-12-21 NaN 0.058463 0.299769 0.760625 1.447466 2.337689 3.507545
2025-12-28 NaN 0.057864 0.313969 0.810268 1.554282 2.521595 3.795230
2026-01-04 NaN 0.053315 0.319461 0.848118 1.648371 2.694085 4.075313
2026-01-11 NaN 0.054576 0.339612 0.910987 1.778951 2.915209 4.417731
2026-01-18 NaN 0.052297 0.350037 0.957252 1.885695 3.105205 4.721164
2026-01-25 NaN 0.042865 0.339239 0.966845 1.939778 3.226678 4.939269
2026-02-01 NaN 0.024821 0.294974 0.915260 1.903756 3.229145 5.007546
2026-02-08 NaN 0.010999 0.249219 0.855289 1.852011 3.208507 5.044825
2026-02-15 NaN 0.005320 0.227019 0.835657 1.857959 3.262775 5.175248
2026-02-22 NaN 0.003335 0.222196 0.848865 1.913031 3.382565 5.388812
2026-03-01 NaN 0.001161 0.208066 0.842166 1.937063 3.460182 5.548338
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000010 0.185376 0.815367 1.928811 3.493296 5.650319
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000017 0.195958 0.859493 2.031314 3.677285 5.946239